The Multi-Polar World
Cross-country macro through the Repricing of Locality lens. The dollar isn't dying — it's being reallocated. Reserve composition, credit cycles, and GDP shares all telling one story. Updated .
Reserve currency composition
USD share of allocated FX reserves: % in → % in . The decline accelerated in the last four quarters: pp. Reallocation goes to "Other" (CNY + minor reserve currencies) and EUR rather than to a single replacement.
Data through: (quarterly, ~3-month publication lag). Source: .
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Credit cycle by country
Credit-to-GDP gap (BIS WS_CREDIT_GAP, Borio-Lowe canonical financial-cycle metric): each country's private non-financial credit/GDP minus the long-run HP-filtered trend. Positive = credit melt-up territory; negative = deleveraging. of countries currently above trend. The dispersion is the multi-polar credit cycle: most of the world deleveraging while a small set of asymmetric economies (Saudi Arabia, Japan, Argentina, Israel) accumulate.
Data through: (BIS quarterly, ~6-month publication lag). Source: .
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Reserve accumulation by major holder
Total reserve assets (foreign currency reserves + IMF reserve position + SDRs + gold), monthly. China remains the dominant reserve accumulator at ~$4T, followed by Japan ~$1.4T, Switzerland ~$1.1T, India ~$0.7T, Russia ~$0.75T. India and Saudi Arabia are the relative-acceleration stories of the last 5 years — both growing reserves at a faster rate than DM peers.
Data through: (IMF IRFCL monthly, ~1-2 month publication lag). Source: IMF IRFCL via api.imf.org/external/sdmx/2.1.
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GDP share trajectory
GDP share of world total at current USD. The relative re-weighting since 2000: US share roughly stable around 25%, China share roughly tripled, Japan and Germany declining. The compositional shift in the world's productive base mirrors the shift in its reserve base — both are slow-moving but cumulative, both are pricing the multi-polar transition.
Data through: (annual, World Bank — typical 1-2 year publication lag for cross-country comparable nominal GDP. The structural arc — US stable, China tripled, Japan/Germany declining — moves on a multi-decade horizon, so the lag has minimal interpretive cost). Source: .
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This page is the cross-country complement to the Repricing of Locality framework. Pillar 2 (Reserves) and Pillar 3 (Dollar System) on the indices side aggregate to the global signal; this page shows the country-level dispersion behind those aggregates. Updated nightly with each external-data refresh.